Cơn sốt cà phê toàn cầu: giá kỳ hạn tăng 15% trong tháng 5
Trước đợt bùng phát mới, ngành công nghiệp thực phẩm và đồ uống trên toàn thế giới đã bị ảnh hưởng. Hiện tượng đổ sữa, lăn rau, cắt hoa vừa bất ngờ vừa đáng tiếc. Nhưng có một loại thực phẩm lại là người chiến thắng bất ngờ.
Coffee -- at a time of global isolation and extended home office hours, demand is bucking the trend and even coffee drinkers are stockpiling.
Demand rose as consumers rushed to grab a coffee. Arabica coffee on the ICE futures exchange has surged 20 percent to $1.20 a pound since the start of Fe+bruary, making it one of the world's best-performing commodities.
Hợp đồng Coffee C, tiêu chuẩn cho cà phê Arabica chất lượng cao, hiện đang dao động quanh mức 117 USD.
Theo IRI, một nhà nghiên cứu thị trường có trụ sở tại Chicago, chi phí cà phê tăng 34,6% ở Pháp và 29,5% ở Ý so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái.
According to Google Trends, "Dalgona coffee" has become the most searched coffee type in the world, surpassing all other coffee records. Global searches rose 1,800% in mid-march and another 1,700% in mid-April.
Most experts attribute the rise in coffee prices to a "short-term panic buying effect" at supermarkets.
But with most shoppers already backlogged, coffee demand is likely to ease in the coming weeks. Philip Searle, a senior coffee trader in PRWakefield, said: "at the supermarket, everyone was buying it in bulk and it was a peak but it's back to normal now."
Philip Searle added: "The rise in demand has lasted only a month and it is surprising whether it will continue."
ICO also released a report last week on how the new outbreak will affect the global coffee industry. Despite the industry's overall steady growth, coffee prices have continued to fall since 2016, dropping 30 percent from the average price over the past decade, as the report shows.
And an increase in coffee consumption at home would offset a drop in spending by outside retailers. "Lower household incomes could lead to less demand for coffee. In addition, price-sensitive consumers may replace high-value coffees with lower-value blends or brands."
Các nhà phân tích cảnh báo rằng nhu cầu về đậu có thể giảm mạnh do suy thoái kinh tế thế giới vào cuối năm nay.
Jose dorster Sette, executive director of the international coffee organization, warned Markets Insider on Wednesday: "our model predicts a 1% drop in GDP will lead to a 0.95% drop in coffee consumption."