Corsa globale al caffè: i prezzi dei futures sono aumentati del 15% a maggio
Sulla scia della nuova epidemia, l’industria alimentare e delle bevande in tutto il mondo è stata colpita. Il fenomeno di versare il latte, arrotolare le verdure e tagliare i fiori è allo stesso tempo sorprendente e deplorevole. Ma un tipo di cibo è un vincitore inaspettato.
Coffee — at a time of global isolation and extended home office hours, demand is bucking the trend and even coffee drinkers are stockpiling.
Demand rose as consumers rushed to grab a coffee. Arabica coffee on the ICE futures exchange has surged 20 percent to $1.20 a pound since the start of Fe+bruary, making it one of the world’s best-performing commodities.
Il contratto Coffee C, il punto di riferimento per il caffè arabica di alta qualità, si aggira attualmente intorno ai 117 dollari.
Secondo l’IRI, un ricercatore di mercato con sede a Chicago, il costo del caffè è aumentato del 34,6% in Francia e del 29,5% in Italia rispetto allo stesso periodo dell’anno scorso.
According to Google Trends, “Dalgona coffee” has become the most searched coffee type in the world, surpassing all other coffee records. Global searches rose 1,800% in mid-march and another 1,700% in mid-April.
Most experts attribute the rise in coffee prices to a “short-term panic buying effect” at supermarkets.
But with most shoppers already backlogged, coffee demand is likely to ease in the coming weeks. Philip Searle, a senior coffee trader in PRWakefield, said: “at the supermarket, everyone was buying it in bulk and it was a peak but it’s back to normal now.”
Philip Searle added: “The rise in demand has lasted only a month and it is surprising whether it will continue.”
ICO also released a report last week on how the new outbreak will affect the global coffee industry. Despite the industry’s overall steady growth, coffee prices have continued to fall since 2016, dropping 30 percent from the average price over the past decade, as the report shows.
And an increase in coffee consumption at home would offset a drop in spending by outside retailers. “Lower household incomes could lead to less demand for coffee. In addition, price-sensitive consumers may replace high-value coffees with lower-value blends or brands.”
Gli analisti avvertono che la domanda di fagioli potrebbe crollare a causa della recessione mondiale entro la fine dell'anno.
Jose dorster Sette, executive director of the international coffee organization, warned Markets Insider on Wednesday: “our model predicts a 1% drop in GDP will lead to a 0.95% drop in coffee consumption.”